Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dcheira vs Union Touarga

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade Adrar, Agadir
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Janan Allah H.
38'
Moustaghfir N.
44'
Habbali M.

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro 2025/2026 game between Dcheira and Union Touarga finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Touarga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dcheira
35%
Draws
42%
Union Touarga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Touarga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Touarga come out ahead of Dcheira on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Botola Pro 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Dcheira Clean Sheet 22%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dcheira Union Touarga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Botola Pro
Dcheira vs Union Touarga
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Dcheira
1:1
Jun 25, 2025 Excellence Cup
Dcheira vs Union Touarga
2:1
Jan 23, 2022 Botola 2
Union Touarga vs Dcheira
0:0
Sep 10, 2021 Botola 2
Dcheira vs Union Touarga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dcheira Compare

Top Goalscorer Amzili B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahmani Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zraa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dcheira 37 / 100
Union Touarga 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dcheira Union Touarga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Touarga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dcheira found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Union Touarga has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Dcheira went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dcheira VS Union Touarga
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dcheira

(Home)
21 Jul
Dcheira
1 : 1
Amal Tiznit
18 Jul
Amal Tiznit
0 : 0
Dcheira
05 Jul
Maghreb Fez
2 : 0
Dcheira
02 Jul
Dcheira
1 : 1
Olympique de Safi
28 Jun
Wydad Athletic
1 : 3
Dcheira
Page 1 of 6

Union Touarga

(Away)
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
05 Jul
Wydad Athletic
1 : 2
Union Touarga
02 Jul
Union Touarga
1 : 0
IR Tanger
28 Jun
FAR Rabat
2 : 2
Union Touarga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2026/2027 (Main)