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De Graafschap vs Apeldoorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2012/2013
Mon, Apr 1, 2013
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap host Apeldoorn in the Eerste Divisie 2012/2013. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Apeldoorn have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while De Graafschap have conceded 2.39 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, De Graafschap have won 1 to Apeldoorn's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2013, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.54 xG vs 2.00) point toward De Graafschap. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
De Graafschap
20%
Draws
40%
Apeldoorn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to De Graafschap lately — more wins on the board than Apeldoorn.
  • Win probability leans De Graafschap's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Apeldoorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap Apeldoorn
Matches Played 28 14
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.39 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2013 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Apeldoorn
0:0
Aug 31, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs De Graafschap
2:1
Apr 23, 2010 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Apeldoorn
3:5
Sep 27, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs De Graafschap
2:2
Mar 23, 2007 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Apeldoorn
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap 38 / 100
Apeldoorn 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap Apeldoorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick De Graafschap Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Apeldoorn let in goals in 71% of their last 14 matches.

Solid form: De Graafschap remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap

(Home)
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2
De Graafschap
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6

Apeldoorn

(Away)
11 Jul
Apeldoorn
1 : 7
AZ Alkmaar
05 Jan
Feyenoord
0 : 0
Apeldoorn
21 Dec
Apeldoorn
0 : 2
Sittard
17 Dec
Apeldoorn
4 : 0
Almere City
14 Dec
Eindhoven FC
1 : 6
Apeldoorn
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambuur 30 19 4 7 59:33 61
2 FC Volendam 30 19 3 8 70:43 60
3 Sparta Rotterdam 30 16 7 7 59:36 55
4 Helmond Sport 30 15 10 5 55:45 55
5 Maastricht 30 14 8 8 56:44 50
6 G.A. Eagles 30 13 9 8 60:46 48
7 Sittard 30 13 7 10 39:33 46
8 De Graafschap 30 12 9 9 57:41 45
9 Dordrecht 30 11 7 12 56:56 40
10 TOP Oss 30 10 7 13 40:57 37
11 Den Bosch 30 10 5 15 38:49 35
12 FC Emmen 30 8 8 14 38:52 32
13 Almere City 30 10 1 19 41:67 31
14 Telstar 30 7 8 15 31:46 29
15 Excelsior 30 4 9 17 39:63 21
16 Eindhoven FC 30 5 6 19 40:67 21
17 Apeldoorn 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Veendam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)