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De Graafschap vs OC Charleroi

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Theodoridis D.
43' Event
El Kadiri I.

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored De Graafschap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
De Graafschap
20%
Draws
50%
OC Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OC Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to De Graafschap lately — more wins on the board than OC Charleroi.
  • Win probability leans OC Charleroi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 13%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap OC Charleroi
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.86 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.29 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
De Graafschap vs OC Charleroi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Theodoridis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Kadiri I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

OC Charleroi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap 27 / 100
OC Charleroi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap OC Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OC Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: OC Charleroi conceded in 92% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: De Graafschap stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap VS OC Charleroi
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap

(Home)
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1
De Graafschap
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5
Jong AZ Alkmaar
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OC Charleroi

(Away)
12 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
05 Sept
Renaissance Mons
3 : 0
OC Charleroi
30 Aug
Onhaye
0 : 2
OC Charleroi
26 Aug
OC Charleroi
0 : 5
St. Liege U23
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
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