Sport Picks

Stadium Background

De Treffers vs Katwijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Zuid, Groesbeek
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
den Dekker W.
63' Event
den Dekker W.
63'
Kesting J.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between De Treffers and Katwijk finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward De Treffers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
De Treffers
35%
Draws
20%
Katwijk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: De Treffers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Katwijk haven't matched De Treffers's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans De Treffers's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors De Treffers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
De Treffers Clean Sheet 16%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Treffers Katwijk
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.23 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tweede Divisie
De Treffers vs Katwijk
4:1
Nov 15, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs De Treffers
2:4
May 24, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs De Treffers
2:3
Dec 14, 2024 Tweede Divisie
De Treffers vs Katwijk
1:3
Mar 23, 2024 Tweede Divisie
De Treffers vs Katwijk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

De Treffers Compare

Top Goalscorer den Dekker W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader van Bakel S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Katwijk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Treffers 66 / 100
Katwijk 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Treffers Katwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick De Treffers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Treffers found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Katwijk conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: De Treffers stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

De Treffers VS Katwijk
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

De Treffers

(Home)
15 Aug
De Treffers
5 : 1
GVVV
08 Aug
VV Noordwijk
2 : 3
De Treffers
11 Jul
De Treffers
2 : 2
Venlo
04 Jul
De Treffers
1 : 1
Eindhoven FC
01 Jul
De Treffers
1 : 1
Nijmegen
Page 1 of 7

Katwijk

(Away)
15 Aug
Spakenburg
1 : 0
Katwijk
04 Aug
Lisse
2 : 1
Katwijk
11 Jul
Katwijk
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
23 May
Katwijk
4 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
16 May
Spakenburg
2 : 1
Katwijk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)