Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Decisao vs Jaguar

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023 Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos, Sertania
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Decisao in this Pernambucano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Decisao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Decisao
20%
Draws
16%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Decisao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Decisao have won more games recently than Jaguar.
  • Model gives Decisao a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Decisao Clean Sheet 17%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Decisao Jaguar
Matches Played 44 37
Wins 17 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.11 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Pernambucano
Decisao vs Jaguar
2:0
Jan 22, 2025 Pernambucano
Jaguar vs Decisao
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Decisao vs Jaguar
0:1
Jul 14, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Decisao vs Jaguar
2:1
Oct 29, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Decisao vs Jaguar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Decisao 84 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Decisao Jaguar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Decisao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Decisao found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (44 games).

Jaguar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Jaguar registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Decisao VS Jaguar
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Decisao

(Home)
14 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 0
Decisao
06 Jun
Decisao
1 : 1
Treze PB
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2
Sergipe
24 May
Decisao
0 : 1
Serra Branca
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
Page 1 of 9

Jaguar

(Away)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afogados da Ingazeira 11 10 1 0 28:4 31
2 Academica Vitoria 11 9 0 2 36:10 27
3 Flamengo Arcoverde 11 9 0 2 27:8 27
4 Decisao 11 7 0 4 16:10 21
5 Vera Cruz 11 6 2 3 31:19 20
6 Ibis Sport Club 11 4 3 4 19:23 15
7 Atletico Torres 11 4 1 6 14:17 13
8 Jaguar 11 3 1 7 13:24 10
9 Atletico PE 11 2 3 6 10:15 9
10 Centro Limoeirense 11 2 1 8 10:26 7
11 1º de Maio 11 1 2 8 11:31 5
12 Ferroviario do Cabo 11 1 2 8 9:37 5
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Pernambucano 3 (Main)