Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Decisao vs Vera Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023 Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos, Sertania
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Decisao in this Pernambucano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Decisao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Decisao
20%
Draws
16%
Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Decisao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Decisao lately — more wins on the board than Vera Cruz.
  • Decisao are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Decisao here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Decisao Clean Sheet 15%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Decisao Vera Cruz
Matches Played 43 33
Wins 17 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Decisao
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Decisao vs Vera Cruz
2:0
Oct 30, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Decisao
0:1
Oct 18, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Decisao
1:0
Sep 8, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Decisao vs Vera Cruz
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Decisao 39 / 100
Vera Cruz 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Decisao Vera Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Decisao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 33 matches.

Decisao's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Vera Cruz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Decisao VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Decisao

(Home)
14 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 0
Decisao
06 Jun
Decisao
1 : 1
Treze PB
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2
Sergipe
24 May
Decisao
0 : 1
Serra Branca
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
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Vera Cruz

(Away)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
28 Sept
America PE
2 : 0
Vera Cruz
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afogados da Ingazeira 11 10 1 0 28:4 31
2 Academica Vitoria 11 9 0 2 36:10 27
3 Flamengo Arcoverde 11 9 0 2 27:8 27
4 Decisao 11 7 0 4 16:10 21
5 Vera Cruz 11 6 2 3 31:19 20
6 Ibis Sport Club 11 4 3 4 19:23 15
7 Atletico Torres 11 4 1 6 14:17 13
8 Jaguar 11 3 1 7 13:24 10
9 Atletico PE 11 2 3 6 10:15 9
10 Centro Limoeirense 11 2 1 8 10:26 7
11 1º de Maio 11 1 2 8 11:31 5
12 Ferroviario do Cabo 11 1 2 8 9:37 5
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Pernambucano 3 (Main)