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Dedza Dynamos vs Baka City

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mpinganjira C.
25' Event
Tijani S.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Kamwendo P.

AI Match Summary

Dedza Dynamos in this Super League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dedza Dynamos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dedza Dynamos
35%
Draws
25%
Baka City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dedza Dynamos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dedza Dynamos have won more games recently than Baka City.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dedza Dynamos taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Dedza Dynamos Clean Sheet 68%
Baka City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dedza Dynamos Baka City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 0.94 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2024 Super League
Baka City vs Dedza Dynamos
1:1
Jul 25, 2024 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Baka City
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dedza Dynamos Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamwendo P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mpinganjira C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Baka City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dedza Dynamos 95 / 100
Baka City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dedza Dynamos Baka City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dedza Dynamos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baka City has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dedza Dynamos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dedza Dynamos found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Dedza Dynamos VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dedza Dynamos

(Home)
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0
Big Bullets
19 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 2
Chitipa United
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3
Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
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Baka City

(Away)
07 Dec
Baka City
1 : 3
Chitipa United
27 Nov
Silver Strikers
2 : 0
Baka City
20 Nov
Baka City
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
16 Nov
Baka City
2 : 2
Mighty Tigers
06 Nov
Baka City
2 : 1
FOMO FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Silver Strikers 30 19 10 1 58:17 67
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 17 7 6 57:19 58
3 Big Bullets 30 14 13 3 42:20 55
4 Mzuzu City 30 13 9 8 31:32 48
5 Civo Utd 30 11 10 9 35:27 43
6 Creck Sporting 30 10 12 8 44:33 42
7 Karonga United 30 11 9 10 30:30 42
8 Moyale Barracks 30 9 12 9 30:27 39
9 MAFCO 30 9 12 9 30:39 39
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 8 13 9 30:29 37
11 Dedza Dynamos 30 7 15 8 32:31 36
12 Mighty Tigers 30 8 11 11 26:38 35
13 Chitipa United 30 7 8 15 35:46 29
14 FOMO FC 30 8 5 17 20:38 29
15 Bangwe All Stars 30 6 9 15 17:34 27
16 Baka City 30 2 7 21 17:74 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)