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Dedza Dynamos vs Big Bullets

Malawi Malawi

Castel Challenge Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Kajoke H.
79' Event
Kajoke H.
(Penalty)
82' Event
Mbeta C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dedza Dynamos
35%
Draws
38%
Big Bullets
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Big Bullets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Big Bullets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Big Bullets are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Big Bullets arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Big Bullets, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Dedza Dynamos Clean Sheet 18%
Big Bullets Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dedza Dynamos Big Bullets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Big Bullets
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Castel Challenge Cup
Dedza Dynamos vs Big Bullets
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Super League
Big Bullets vs Dedza Dynamos
3:0
May 14, 2025 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Big Bullets
0:1
Oct 31, 2024 Super League
Big Bullets vs Dedza Dynamos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dedza Dynamos Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbeta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Big Bullets Compare

Top Goalscorer Kajoke H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dedza Dynamos 20 / 100
Big Bullets 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dedza Dynamos Big Bullets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Big Bullets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dedza Dynamos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Dedza Dynamos's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Big Bullets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dedza Dynamos VS Big Bullets
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dedza Dynamos

(Home)
09 Sept
Dedza Dynamos
0 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
23 Aug
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Dedza Dynamos
16 Aug
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Creck Sporting
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0
Big Bullets
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Big Bullets

(Away)
05 Sept
Big Bullets
5 : 0
Silver Strikers
23 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
0 : 0
Big Bullets
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1
Big Bullets
09 Aug
Big Bullets
2 : 0
Chitipa United
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0
Big Bullets
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mighty Tigers 0
Big Bullets 2
Mzuzu City 2
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Ekhaya 0
Dedza Dynamos 2
Chitipa United 1
Blue Eagles 4
Semi-finals
Big Bullets 2
Mzuzu City 0
Dedza Dynamos 4
Blue Eagles 3
Final
Big Bullets 2
Dedza Dynamos 1