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Dedza Dynamos vs Kamuzu Barracks

Malawi Malawi

Super League
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Match Events

63' Event
Mpinganjira C.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Dedza Dynamos and Kamuzu Barracks finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dedza Dynamos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dedza Dynamos
35%
Draws
37%
Kamuzu Barracks
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kamuzu Barracks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Kamuzu Barracks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Dedza Dynamos Clean Sheet 68%
Kamuzu Barracks Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dedza Dynamos Kamuzu Barracks
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.81 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Kamuzu Barracks
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Kamuzu Barracks
1:0
May 31, 2025 Super League
Kamuzu Barracks vs Dedza Dynamos
2:2
Sep 25, 2024 Super League
Kamuzu Barracks vs Dedza Dynamos
2:0
Jul 18, 2024 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Kamuzu Barracks
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dedza Dynamos Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpinganjira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Kamuzu Barracks Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dedza Dynamos 41 / 100
Kamuzu Barracks 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dedza Dynamos Kamuzu Barracks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dedza Dynamos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kamuzu Barracks has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Dedza Dynamos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dedza Dynamos's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dedza Dynamos VS Kamuzu Barracks
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dedza Dynamos

(Home)
23 Aug
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Dedza Dynamos
16 Aug
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Creck Sporting
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0
Big Bullets
19 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 2
Chitipa United
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Kamuzu Barracks

(Away)
22 Aug
Moyale Barracks
2 : 2
Kamuzu Barracks
16 Aug
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 2
Mighty Wanderers FC
09 Aug
Red Lions
0 : 0
Kamuzu Barracks
26 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
4 : 1
MAFCO
19 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
2 : 1
Blue Eagles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Silver Strikers 14 8 5 1 23:5 29
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 14 8 5 1 26:9 29
3 Blue Eagles 14 9 1 4 22:15 28
4 Big Bullets 14 7 6 1 15:7 27
5 Masters FC 14 6 3 5 17:16 21
6 Chitipa United 14 6 2 6 11:16 20
7 Red Lions 14 5 4 5 12:13 19
8 Mitundu Baptist 14 5 4 5 12:13 19
9 Moyale Barracks 14 4 6 4 14:16 18
10 Ekhaya 14 4 5 5 15:14 17
11 Civo Utd 14 5 2 7 9:14 17
12 Dedza Dynamos 14 3 5 6 9:19 14
13 MAFCO 14 3 4 7 11:15 13
14 Karonga United 14 3 4 7 14:23 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 14 3 3 8 15:21 12
16 Creck Sporting 14 2 3 9 11:20 9
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)