Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defence Force vs Morvant Caledonia United

Trinidad and Tobago Trinidad and Tobago

TT Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The TT Premier League game between Defence Force and Morvant Caledonia United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defence Force.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Defence Force
15%
Draws
28%
Morvant Caledonia United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defence Force

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Defence Force carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Defence Force's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Defence Force here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Defence Force Clean Sheet 68%
Morvant Caledonia United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defence Force Morvant Caledonia United
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 2.33 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 TT Premier League
Defence Force vs Morvant Caledonia United
2:1
Jan 8, 2026 TT Premier League
Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force
1:3
Apr 26, 2025 TT Premier League
Defence Force vs Morvant Caledonia United
5:1
Jan 10, 2025 TT Premier League
Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force
2:6
Mar 28, 2024 TT Premier League
Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defence Force 95 / 100
Morvant Caledonia United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defence Force Morvant Caledonia United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defence Force Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defence Force found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Morvant Caledonia United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Morvant Caledonia United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defence Force VS Morvant Caledonia United
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Defence Force

(Home)
15 Sept
Delfines Del Este
3 : 1
Defence Force
01 Sept
Defence Force
0 : 2
Sando
20 Aug
Defence Force
2 : 1
Broki
05 Aug
Violette
3 : 0
Defence Force
29 Mar
Defence Force
2 : 0
AC Port Of Spain
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Morvant Caledonia United

(Away)
27 Mar
Prison Service
1 : 0
Morvant Caledonia United
22 Mar
Morvant Caledonia United
0 : 5
Sando
19 Mar
Morvant Caledonia United
0 : 2
AC Port Of Spain
14 Mar
Morvant Caledonia United
1 : 2
La Horquetta
07 Mar
Central FC
1 : 5
Morvant Caledonia United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Defence Force 22 16 4 2 58:19 52
2 Sando 22 16 1 5 51:13 49
3 Prison Service 22 15 2 5 42:24 47
4 Police 22 13 5 4 44:18 44
5 AC Port Of Spain 22 11 4 7 38:31 37
6 San Juan Jabloteh 22 10 4 8 45:39 34
7 Central FC 22 8 3 11 32:50 27
8 La Horquetta 22 6 3 13 21:51 21
9 1976 Phoenix FC 22 6 1 15 29:54 19
10 Eagles FC 22 5 2 15 31:52 17
11 Point Fortin 22 5 2 15 22:46 17
12 Morvant Caledonia United 22 5 1 16 30:46 16
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