Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions Cup Hasely Crawford Stadium, Port of Spain
Defence Force Logo

Defence Force

0 - 5
FT
Philadelphia Union Logo

Philadelphia Union

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Bailey T.
29' Event
Iloski M.
32' Event
Alladoh E.
Assist: Westfield F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 7-0. The second leg ended 0-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Defence Force
15%
Draws
50%
Philadelphia Union
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Philadelphia Union haven't matched Defence Force's recent run of results.
  • Philadelphia Union are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Defence Force have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Philadelphia Union, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Defence Force Clean Sheet 13%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defence Force Philadelphia Union
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 24 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.47 2
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force
7:0
Feb 18, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defence Force Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Philadelphia Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Iloski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alladoh E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defence Force 10 / 100
Philadelphia Union 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defence Force Philadelphia Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Defence Force scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Philadelphia Union let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Defence Force stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defence Force VS Philadelphia Union
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Defence Force

(Home)
01 Sept
Defence Force
0 : 2
Sando
20 Aug
Defence Force
2 : 1
Broki
05 Aug
Violette
3 : 0
Defence Force
29 Mar
Defence Force
2 : 0
AC Port Of Spain
20 Mar
Defence Force
6 : 0
Eagles FC
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Philadelphia Union

(Away)
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0
FC Cincinnati
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0
CF Montreal
29 Aug
New York Red Bulls
1 : 3
Philadelphia Union
23 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 1
Philadelphia Union
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Toluca -
TBD -
UNAM Pumas 2
San Diego FC 4
Mount Pleasant -
TBD -
Los Angeles Galaxy 1
Sporting San Miguelito 1
Cruz Azul 8
Vancouver FC 0
Monterrey 3
Xelaju 1
Alajuelense -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC 7
Real Espana 1
Inter Miami -
TBD -
Nashville SC 7
Atletico Ottawa 0
Club America 2
Olimpia 1
Philadelphia Union 12
Defence Force 0
Tigres UANL 4
Forge FC 1
FC Cincinnati 13
Universidad O&M 0
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Cartagines 0
1/8-finals
Toluca 6
San Diego FC 3
Mount Pleasant 0
Los Angeles Galaxy 6
Cruz Azul 4
Monterrey 3
Alajuelense 2
Los Angeles FC 3
Inter Miami 1
Nashville SC 1
Club America 2
Philadelphia Union 1
Tigres UANL 5
FC Cincinnati 4
Seattle Sounders 5
Vancouver Whitecaps 1
Quarter-finals
Toluca 7
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
Cruz Azul 1
Los Angeles FC 4
Nashville SC 1
Club America 0
Tigres UANL 3
Seattle Sounders 3
Semi-finals
Toluca 5
Los Angeles FC 2
Nashville SC 0
Tigres UANL 2
Final
Toluca 2
Tigres UANL 1