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Defenders FC vs Colombo

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Aakib M.
46' Event
Aakib M.
58' Event
Mohamed R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Colombo in this Super League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colombo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Defenders FC
28%
Draws
50%
Colombo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Colombo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Colombo have won more games recently than Defenders FC.
  • Model gives Colombo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Defenders FC Clean Sheet 10%
Colombo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defenders FC Colombo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Super League
Colombo vs Defenders FC
0:0
Dec 15, 2021 Super League
Defenders FC vs Colombo
1:3
Feb 10, 2019 Super League
Colombo vs Defenders FC
1:2
Dec 17, 2017 Super League
Defenders FC vs Colombo
0:1
Jan 20, 2017 Super League
Colombo vs Defenders FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defenders FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Colombo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aakib M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defenders FC 22 / 100
Colombo 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defenders FC Colombo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defenders FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Colombo let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Defenders FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defenders FC VS Colombo
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Defenders FC

(Home)
12 Jul
Colombo
0 : 0
Defenders FC
10 Jan
Defenders FC
6 : 1
New Young's SC
06 Jan
Red Star
0 : 0
Defenders FC
30 Dec
Defenders FC
1 : 3
Blue Star
15 Dec
Defenders FC
1 : 3
Colombo
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Colombo

(Away)
12 Jul
Colombo
0 : 0
Defenders FC
11 Jan
Colombo
2 : 3
Sea Hawks
07 Jan
Colombo
2 : 0
Blue Eagles
29 Dec
UP Country Lions
2 : 3
Colombo
15 Dec
Defenders FC
1 : 3
Colombo
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