Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cordero N.
Assist: Fernandez T.
28'
Pombo J.
29' Event
Barbona D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Defensa y Justicia
15%
Draws
32%
Aldosivi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensa y Justicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Defensa y Justicia lately — more wins on the board than Aldosivi.
  • Model gives Defensa y Justicia a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 68%
Aldosivi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensa y Justicia Aldosivi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi
1:1
Jan 22, 2026 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Defensa y Justicia
0:0
Jul 22, 2025 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi
2:0
Jan 30, 2025 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Defensa y Justicia
0:5
Jul 11, 2022 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensa y Justicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbona D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aldosivi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordero N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensa y Justicia 68 / 100
Aldosivi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensa y Justicia Aldosivi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensa y Justicia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensa y Justicia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aldosivi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensa y Justicia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Defensa y Justicia VS Aldosivi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensa y Justicia

(Home)
18 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
31 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 0
Platense
23 Aug
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
1 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 6

Aldosivi

(Away)
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1
Aldosivi
26 Aug
Aldosivi
0 : 2
Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)