Sport Picks
Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa 
Match Events
24'
24'
Arias S.
38'
38'
Fernandez L.
Assist: Barbona D.
44'
44'
Meza M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Defensa y Justicia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Defensa y Justicia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Defensa y Justicia's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensa y Justicia | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia
3:1
Jun 4, 2024 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente
0:0
Feb 20, 2023 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia
0:2
Jul 20, 2022 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensa y Justicia Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Independiente Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensa y Justicia 95 / 100
Independiente 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensa y Justicia Independiente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensa y Justicia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Defensa y Justicia scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Independiente has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Defensa y Justicia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Defensa y Justicia VS Independiente
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensa y Justicia
(Home) 02 Nov
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 1 Independiente
24 Oct
Talleres Cordoba
1 : 2 Defensa y Justicia
16 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
0 : 1 Instituto
10 Oct
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2 Defensa y Justicia
03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 1 Independiente
16 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
0 : 1 Instituto
03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0 San Lorenzo
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
31 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 0 Platense
Page 1 of 4
Independiente
(Away) 02 Nov
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 1 Independiente
25 Oct
Independiente
0 : 1 Boca Juniors
18 Oct
Racing Club
1 : 1 Independiente
12 Oct
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 0 Independiente
02 Oct
Independiente
1 : 4 Instituto
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 1 Independiente
18 Oct
Racing Club
1 : 1 Independiente
12 Oct
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 0 Independiente
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2 Independiente
06 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 1 Independiente
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 28 |
| 5 | Lanus | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | 20 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11:25 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:12 | 31 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | 28 |
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 23 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Ind. Rivadavia | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:23 | 22 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 21 |
| 9 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:15 | 17 |
| 11 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | 15 |
| 13 | Banfield | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:21 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
