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Stadium Background

Defensa y Justicia vs Union de Santa Fe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Defensa y Justicia Logo

Defensa y Justicia

2 - 0
FT
Union de Santa Fe Logo

Union de Santa Fe

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Cuello B.
32'
Fernandez D.
35'
Botta R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Defensa y Justicia in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensa y Justicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Defensa y Justicia
15%
Draws
32%
Union de Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensa y Justicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Union de Santa Fe at 1.52 per game, Defensa y Justicia at 1.32.
  • Model gives Defensa y Justicia a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 68%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensa y Justicia Union de Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Union de Santa Fe
2:0
Oct 21, 2025 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia
3:0
Apr 14, 2025 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Union de Santa Fe
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Union de Santa Fe
0:0
Mar 10, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Union de Santa Fe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensa y Justicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Souto L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensa y Justicia 77 / 100
Union de Santa Fe 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensa y Justicia Union de Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensa y Justicia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union de Santa Fe has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensa y Justicia scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensa y Justicia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensa y Justicia VS Union de Santa Fe
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensa y Justicia

(Home)
03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0
San Lorenzo
18 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
31 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 0
Platense
Page 1 of 6

Union de Santa Fe

(Away)
03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0
Union de Santa Fe
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union de Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 16 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 11
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 16 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atl. Tucuman 16 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 5
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)