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Defensor La Bocana vs Sport Loreto

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2017 Estadio Municipal de Bernal, Bernal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2017 game between Defensor La Bocana and Sport Loreto finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensor La Bocana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Defensor La Bocana
44%
Draws
20%
Sport Loreto
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Defensor La Bocana come out ahead of Sport Loreto on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Defensor La Bocana Clean Sheet 11%
Sport Loreto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor La Bocana Sport Loreto
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.67 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2017 Liga 2
Defensor La Bocana vs Sport Loreto
1:0
Jun 25, 2017 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Defensor La Bocana
3:0
Dec 7, 2014 Copa Peru
Sport Loreto vs Defensor La Bocana
6:1
Nov 30, 2014 Copa Peru
Defensor La Bocana vs Sport Loreto
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor La Bocana 35 / 100
Sport Loreto 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor La Bocana Sport Loreto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Defensor La Bocana scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sport Loreto conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Sport Loreto lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensor La Bocana VS Sport Loreto
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor La Bocana

(Home)
04 Dec
Defensor La Bocana
0 : 2
Comerciantes FC
30 Nov
Defensor La Bocana
0 : 3
Deportivo Garcilaso
27 Nov
Defensor La Bocana
2 : 1
Atl. Bruces
18 Nov
Los Caimanes
3 : 1
Defensor La Bocana
12 Nov
Defensor La Bocana
6 : 1
Sport Victoria
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Sport Loreto

(Away)
10 Nov
Sport Loreto
0 : 4
Juan Aurich
03 Nov
Atletico Grau
4 : 1
Sport Loreto
26 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Sport Loreto
20 Oct
Sport Loreto
0 : 2
Cienciano
12 Oct
Union Huaral
1 : 0
Sport Loreto
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Boys28169354:2357
2Cesar Vallejo28169376:2957
3Hualgayoc28146870:4446
4Union Huaral281431156:5745
5Los Chankas281111642:2744
6Cienciano28138761:4143
7Carlos Mannucci281011753:3841
8Sport Victoria281071136:4437
9Deportivo Coopsol27811845:4635
10Sport Loreto28961339:4833
11Alfredo Salinas277101041:5327
12Willy Serrato28661633:6824
13Los Caimanes28841641:5922
14Defensor La Bocana28931649:7316
15Sport Ancash28361927:7313
Promotion - Primera Division 2018 (Apertura)