Sport Picks
Defensor San Alejandro vs Alianza Huanuco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Segunda Division 2014 
AI Match Summary
The Segunda Division 2014 game between Defensor San Alejandro and Alianza Huanuco finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Alianza Huanuco carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor San Alejandro | Alianza Huanuco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 52 |
| Wins | 10 | 24 |
| Draws | 9 | 14 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Alianza Huanuco
2:2
Jun 22, 2014 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Defensor San Alejandro
5:1
Sep 15, 2013 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Alianza Huanuco
5:1
Jun 9, 2013 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Defensor San Alejandro
3:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensor San Alejandro 32 / 100
Alianza Huanuco 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensor San Alejandro Alianza Huanuco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.
Defensor San Alejandro scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Alianza Huanuco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 52 matches.
Solid form: Defensor San Alejandro remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Alianza Huanuco
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor San Alejandro
(Home) 30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2 Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0 Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
19 Oct
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 2 Alianza Huanuco
28 Sept
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 1 Walter Ormeno
Page 1 of 3
Alianza Huanuco
(Away) 06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1 Alianza Huanuco
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2 Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1 Union Minas
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 11
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1 Alianza Huanuco
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
17 Aug
Santos FC
3 : 3 Alianza Huanuco
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Municipal | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49:29 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Coopsol | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 53:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Carlos Mannucci | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 46:32 | 55 |
| 4 | Alianza Huanuco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:30 | 53 |
| 5 | Willy Serrato | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Union Huaral | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Defensor San Alejandro | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:37 | 39 |
| 8 | Atl. Minero | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:40 | 39 |
| 9 | Atletico Torino | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:34 | 37 |
| 10 | Pacifico | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 33:44 | 35 |
| 11 | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 42:47 | 33 |
| 13 | Sport Victoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 15 | Jose Galvez | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:39 | 25 |
| 16 | Walter Ormeno | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 21:46 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)
