Sport Picks
Defensor San Alejandro vs Dep. Municipal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Segunda Division 2014 
AI Match Summary
Dep. Municipal in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Municipal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensor San Alejandro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Dep. Municipal have won more games recently than Defensor San Alejandro.
- Defensor San Alejandro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Municipal Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor San Alejandro | Dep. Municipal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 39 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Dep. Municipal
1:2
Jul 19, 2014 Liga 2
Dep. Municipal vs Defensor San Alejandro
1:2
Oct 6, 2013 Liga 2
Dep. Municipal vs Defensor San Alejandro
2:1
Jun 30, 2013 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Dep. Municipal
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensor San Alejandro 85 / 100
Dep. Municipal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensor San Alejandro Dep. Municipal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensor San Alejandro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dep. Municipal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 37 matches.
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Dep. Municipal registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Defensor San Alejandro scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Dep. Municipal
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor San Alejandro
(Home) 30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2 Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0 Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
19 Oct
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 2 Alianza Huanuco
28 Sept
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 1 Walter Ormeno
Page 1 of 3
Dep. Municipal
(Away) 27 Sept
Llacuabamba
3 : 0 Dep. Municipal
21 Sept
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3 Santos FC
16 Sept
Deportivo Coopsol
3 : 0 Dep. Municipal
12 Sept
ADA Jaen
3 : 0 Dep. Municipal
08 Sept
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3 Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Llacuabamba
3 : 0 Dep. Municipal
16 Sept
Deportivo Coopsol
3 : 0 Dep. Municipal
12 Sept
ADA Jaen
3 : 0 Dep. Municipal
26 Aug
Santos FC
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
11 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 0 Dep. Municipal
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Municipal | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49:29 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Coopsol | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 53:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Carlos Mannucci | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 46:32 | 55 |
| 4 | Alianza Huanuco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:30 | 53 |
| 5 | Willy Serrato | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Union Huaral | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Defensor San Alejandro | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:37 | 39 |
| 8 | Atl. Minero | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:40 | 39 |
| 9 | Atletico Torino | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:34 | 37 |
| 10 | Pacifico | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 33:44 | 35 |
| 11 | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 42:47 | 33 |
| 13 | Sport Victoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 15 | Jose Galvez | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:39 | 25 |
| 16 | Walter Ormeno | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 21:46 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)
