Sport Picks
Defensor San Alejandro vs Jose Galvez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Segunda Division 2014 
AI Match Summary
Defensor San Alejandro in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensor San Alejandro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensor San Alejandro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Defensor San Alejandro have won more games recently than Jose Galvez.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 20%
Jose Galvez Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor San Alejandro | Jose Galvez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 30, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Jose Galvez
2:0
Aug 10, 2014 Liga 2
Jose Galvez vs Defensor San Alejandro
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensor San Alejandro 31 / 100
Jose Galvez 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensor San Alejandro Jose Galvez
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensor San Alejandro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Jose Galvez conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Defensor San Alejandro scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Jose Galvez's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Defensor San Alejandro VS Jose Galvez
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor San Alejandro
(Home) 30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2 Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0 Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
19 Oct
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 2 Alianza Huanuco
28 Sept
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 1 Walter Ormeno
Page 1 of 3
Jose Galvez
(Away) 12 Nov
Jose Galvez
1 : 1 Union San Martin
05 Nov
Union San Martin
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Jose Galvez
0 : 1 Carlos Mannucci
15 Nov
Sport Boys
3 : 1 Jose Galvez
Page 1 of 6
05 Nov
Union San Martin
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
15 Nov
Sport Boys
3 : 1 Jose Galvez
01 Nov
Deportivo Coopsol
4 : 0 Jose Galvez
19 Oct
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Municipal | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49:29 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Coopsol | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 53:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Carlos Mannucci | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 46:32 | 55 |
| 4 | Alianza Huanuco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:30 | 53 |
| 5 | Willy Serrato | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Union Huaral | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Defensor San Alejandro | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:37 | 39 |
| 8 | Atl. Minero | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:40 | 39 |
| 9 | Atletico Torino | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:34 | 37 |
| 10 | Pacifico | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 33:44 | 35 |
| 11 | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 42:47 | 33 |
| 13 | Sport Victoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 15 | Jose Galvez | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:39 | 25 |
| 16 | Walter Ormeno | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 21:46 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)
