Sport Picks

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Defensor San Alejandro vs Jose Galvez

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Defensor San Alejandro in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensor San Alejandro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Defensor San Alejandro
39%
Draws
31%
Jose Galvez
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Defensor San Alejandro have won more games recently than Jose Galvez.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 20%
Jose Galvez Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor San Alejandro Jose Galvez
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Jose Galvez
2:0
Aug 10, 2014 Liga 2
Jose Galvez vs Defensor San Alejandro
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor San Alejandro 31 / 100
Jose Galvez 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor San Alejandro Jose Galvez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jose Galvez conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Defensor San Alejandro scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Jose Galvez's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Defensor San Alejandro VS Jose Galvez
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor San Alejandro

(Home)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

Jose Galvez

(Away)
12 Nov
Jose Galvez
1 : 1
Union San Martin
05 Nov
Union San Martin
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Jose Galvez
0 : 1
Carlos Mannucci
15 Nov
Sport Boys
3 : 1
Jose Galvez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Municipal30187549:2961
2Deportivo Coopsol30177653:2658
3Carlos Mannucci30174946:3255
4Alianza Huanuco30158751:3053
5Willy Serrato301210844:3746
6Union Huaral301171238:3740
7Defensor San Alejandro301091137:3739
8Atl. Minero301091130:4039
9Atletico Torino309101137:3437
10Pacifico30981333:4435
11Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)301161336:5035
12Sport Boys30813942:4733
13Sport Victoria307101331:3831
14Comerciantes Unidos30791429:3630
15Jose Galvez307101325:3925
16Walter Ormeno30491721:4619
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)