Sport Picks
Defensor San Alejandro vs Walter Ormeno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Segunda Division 2014 
AI Match Summary
The Segunda Division 2014 game between Defensor San Alejandro and Walter Ormeno finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Walter Ormeno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Defensor San Alejandro come out ahead of Walter Ormeno on wins alone.
- Model gives Defensor San Alejandro a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 20%
Walter Ormeno Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor San Alejandro | Walter Ormeno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Walter Ormeno
1:1
Jun 9, 2014 Liga 2
Walter Ormeno vs Defensor San Alejandro
1:1
Oct 20, 2013 Liga 2
Walter Ormeno vs Defensor San Alejandro
0:1
Jul 14, 2013 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Walter Ormeno
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensor San Alejandro 42 / 100
Walter Ormeno 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensor San Alejandro Walter Ormeno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Walter Ormeno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Defensor San Alejandro scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Defensor San Alejandro remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Defensor San Alejandro VS Walter Ormeno
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor San Alejandro
(Home) 30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2 Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0 Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
19 Oct
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 2 Alianza Huanuco
28 Sept
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 1 Walter Ormeno
Page 1 of 3
Walter Ormeno
(Away) 30 Nov
Walter Ormeno
0 : 0 Sport Victoria
23 Nov
Atletico Torino
3 : 0 Walter Ormeno
14 Nov
Walter Ormeno
2 : 1 Willy Serrato
08 Nov
Dep. Municipal
1 : 0 Walter Ormeno
01 Nov
Walter Ormeno
0 : 0 Union Huaral
Page 1 of 6
23 Nov
Atletico Torino
3 : 0 Walter Ormeno
08 Nov
Dep. Municipal
1 : 0 Walter Ormeno
26 Oct
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 0 Walter Ormeno
12 Oct
Jose Galvez
0 : 2 Walter Ormeno
28 Sept
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 1 Walter Ormeno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Municipal | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49:29 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Coopsol | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 53:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Carlos Mannucci | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 46:32 | 55 |
| 4 | Alianza Huanuco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:30 | 53 |
| 5 | Willy Serrato | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Union Huaral | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Defensor San Alejandro | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:37 | 39 |
| 8 | Atl. Minero | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:40 | 39 |
| 9 | Atletico Torino | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:34 | 37 |
| 10 | Pacifico | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 33:44 | 35 |
| 11 | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 42:47 | 33 |
| 13 | Sport Victoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 15 | Jose Galvez | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:39 | 25 |
| 16 | Walter Ormeno | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 21:46 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)
