Sport Picks
Defensor San Alejandro vs Willy Serrato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Segunda Division 2014 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensor San Alejandro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Defensor San Alejandro lately — more wins on the board than Willy Serrato.
- Defensor San Alejandro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 20%
Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor San Alejandro | Willy Serrato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 43 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 3.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.42 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 7, 2014 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Defensor San Alejandro
3:0
Jul 13, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Willy Serrato
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensor San Alejandro 85 / 100
Willy Serrato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensor San Alejandro Willy Serrato
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensor San Alejandro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Willy Serrato has conceded goals in 91% of their last 43 outings.
Away concern: Willy Serrato has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Defensor San Alejandro found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
- VS Willy Serrato
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor San Alejandro
(Home) 30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2 Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0 Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
19 Oct
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 2 Alianza Huanuco
28 Sept
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 1 Walter Ormeno
Page 1 of 3
Willy Serrato
(Away) 28 Oct
Union Huaral
11 : 0 Willy Serrato
21 Oct
Willy Serrato
0 : 3 Cesar Vallejo
14 Oct
Sport Victoria
8 : 1 Willy Serrato
29 Sept
Willy Serrato
1 : 3 Atletico Grau
23 Sept
Cienciano
9 : 1 Willy Serrato
Page 1 of 9
28 Oct
Union Huaral
11 : 0 Willy Serrato
14 Oct
Sport Victoria
8 : 1 Willy Serrato
23 Sept
Cienciano
9 : 1 Willy Serrato
09 Sept
Los Caimanes
3 : 0 Willy Serrato
30 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
8 : 0 Willy Serrato
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Municipal | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49:29 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Coopsol | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 53:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Carlos Mannucci | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 46:32 | 55 |
| 4 | Alianza Huanuco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:30 | 53 |
| 5 | Willy Serrato | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Union Huaral | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Defensor San Alejandro | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:37 | 39 |
| 8 | Atl. Minero | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:40 | 39 |
| 9 | Atletico Torino | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:34 | 37 |
| 10 | Pacifico | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 33:44 | 35 |
| 11 | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 42:47 | 33 |
| 13 | Sport Victoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 15 | Jose Galvez | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:39 | 25 |
| 16 | Walter Ormeno | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 21:46 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)
