Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defensor San Alejandro vs Willy Serrato

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Defensor San Alejandro
6%
Draws
4%
Willy Serrato
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Defensor San Alejandro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Defensor San Alejandro lately — more wins on the board than Willy Serrato.
  • Defensor San Alejandro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 20%
Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor San Alejandro Willy Serrato
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2014 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Defensor San Alejandro
3:0
Jul 13, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Willy Serrato
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor San Alejandro 85 / 100
Willy Serrato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor San Alejandro Willy Serrato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willy Serrato has conceded goals in 92% of their last 37 outings.

Away concern: Willy Serrato has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensor San Alejandro found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Willy Serrato
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor San Alejandro

(Home)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

Willy Serrato

(Away)
28 Oct
Union Huaral
11 : 0
Willy Serrato
21 Oct
Willy Serrato
0 : 3
Cesar Vallejo
14 Oct
Sport Victoria
8 : 1
Willy Serrato
29 Sept
Willy Serrato
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
23 Sept
Cienciano
9 : 1
Willy Serrato
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Municipal30187549:2961
2Deportivo Coopsol30177653:2658
3Carlos Mannucci30174946:3255
4Alianza Huanuco30158751:3053
5Willy Serrato301210844:3746
6Union Huaral301171238:3740
7Defensor San Alejandro301091137:3739
8Atl. Minero301091130:4039
9Atletico Torino309101137:3437
10Pacifico30981333:4435
11Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)301161336:5035
12Sport Boys30813942:4733
13Sport Victoria307101331:3831
14Comerciantes Unidos30791429:3630
15Jose Galvez307101325:3925
16Walter Ormeno30491721:4619
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)