Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defensor Sp. vs Liverpool M. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Defensor Sp. Logo

Defensor Sp.

0 - 4
FT
Liverpool M. Logo

Liverpool M.

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Bentancourt R.
(Penalty)
31'
Pozzo T. A.
40'
Bentancourt R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Liverpool M. in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liverpool M..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Defensor Sp.
15%
Draws
69%
Liverpool M.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool M.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Defensor Sp. haven't matched Liverpool M.'s recent run of results.
  • Model gives Liverpool M. a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 16%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor Sp. Liverpool M.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Liverpool M.
0:4
Jul 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Liverpool M.
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Defensor Sp.
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Defensor Sp.
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Liverpool M.
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensor Sp. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Liverpool M. Compare

Top Goalscorer Barcelo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor Sp. 19 / 100
Liverpool M. 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor Sp. Liverpool M.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool M. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensor Sp. found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Liverpool M. conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Defensor Sp. went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensor Sp. VS Liverpool M.
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor Sp.

(Home)
17 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0
Defensor Sp.
10 Oct
Defensor Sp.
2 : 3
CA Cerro
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Danubio
Page 1 of 6

Liverpool M.

(Away)
21 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Cerro Largo
18 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Penarol
09 Oct
Maldonado
1 : 1
Liverpool M.
03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2
Progreso
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2
Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 11 7 3 1 19:8 24
2 Club Nacional 11 7 2 2 17:11 23
3 Montevideo City 11 7 1 3 21:12 22
4 Penarol 11 6 3 2 16:8 20
5 Maldonado 11 5 3 3 16:9 18
6 CA Cerro 11 5 3 3 13:14 18
7 Juventud 11 4 5 2 12:8 17
8 Progreso 11 5 1 5 12:13 16
9 Racing Montevideo 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
10 Boston River 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
11 Wanderers 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
12 Danubio 11 2 4 5 5:11 10
13 Albion 11 3 0 8 12:19 9
14 Defensor Sp. 11 2 2 7 11:20 8
15 Cerro Largo 11 0 6 5 7:14 6
16 Central Esp. 11 1 2 8 5:18 5
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)