Sport Picks
Defensor Sp. vs Racing Montevideo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo 
AI Match Summary
Defensor Sp. host Racing Montevideo in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. This one's hard to separate. Racing Montevideo have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Defensor Sp. have conceded 1.34 and scored 0.86. Head-to-head, Defensor Sp. have won 3 to Racing Montevideo's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.25) point toward Racing Montevideo. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Racing Montevideo have won more games recently than Defensor Sp..
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor Sp. | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensor Sp.'s goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Racing Montevideo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Racing Montevideo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor Sp.
(Home)Racing Montevideo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Penarol | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Maldonado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Juventud | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:8 | 17 |
| 8 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 10 | Boston River | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Danubio | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Albion | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12:19 | 9 |
| 14 | Defensor Sp. | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5:18 | 5 |
