Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defensor Sp. vs Villa Teresa

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021 Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fagundez P.
62'
Barros C.
82' Event
Bajter M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2021 game between Defensor Sp. and Villa Teresa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Teresa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Defensor Sp.
35%
Draws
32%
Villa Teresa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Defensor Sp. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Defensor Sp. taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Teresa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor Sp. Villa Teresa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.91 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2021 Segunda Division
Defensor Sp. vs Villa Teresa
1:2
Jul 15, 2021 Segunda Division
Villa Teresa vs Defensor Sp.
0:2
Apr 2, 2016 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Villa Teresa vs Defensor Sp.
2:2
Sep 27, 2015 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Villa Teresa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensor Sp. Compare

Top Goalscorer Mallo Blanco F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Villa Teresa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagundez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bajter M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor Sp. 50 / 100
Villa Teresa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor Sp. Villa Teresa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensor Sp. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Teresa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Defensor Sp.'s goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Defensor Sp. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Defensor Sp. VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor Sp.

(Home)
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Danubio
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Maldonado
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
06 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
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Villa Teresa

(Away)
11 Dec
La Luz
4 : 1
Villa Teresa
06 Dec
Villa Teresa
2 : 0
La Luz
24 Nov
Villa Teresa
1 : 1
Albion
17 Nov
Villa Teresa
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
09 Nov
Atenas
0 : 1
Villa Teresa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 22 13 5 4 31:18 44
2 Danubio 22 12 5 5 24:14 41
3 Racing Montevideo 22 10 8 4 27:16 38
4 Defensor Sp. 22 11 4 7 33:21 37
5 CA Cerro 22 10 7 5 26:20 37
6 Central Esp. 22 9 6 7 29:29 33
7 Juventud 22 8 5 9 27:27 29
8 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 7 4 11 21:27 25
9 Atenas 22 5 9 8 20:17 24
10 Rampla Juniors 22 5 6 11 14:32 21
11 Villa Teresa 22 4 6 12 17:32 18
12 Rocha 22 4 3 15 20:36 15
Promotion - Primera Division 2022 (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2021 (Play Offs)