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Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Crucero del Norte

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Salomon Boeseldin, Villa Ram
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Perez L.
28'
Sub
Rodriguez A. In: Olego M.
Out: Rodriguez A.
46'
Sub
Camano J. In: Ramos M.
Out: Camano J.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal 2025 game between Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo and Crucero del Norte finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
6%
Draws
4%
Crucero del Norte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo come out ahead of Crucero del Norte on wins alone.
  • Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 68%
Crucero del Norte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Crucero del Norte
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Crucero del Norte
3:1
Aug 13, 2022 Torneo Federal
Crucero del Norte vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:1
May 6, 2022 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Crucero del Norte
1:2
Sep 5, 2021 Torneo Federal
Crucero del Norte vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:1
May 16, 2021 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Crucero del Norte
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vega A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Crucero del Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Santa Cruz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 95 / 100
Crucero del Norte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Crucero del Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Crucero del Norte lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Crucero del Norte has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo VS Crucero del Norte
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

(Home)
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
05 Jul
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 1
Atletico Escobar
27 Jun
Sportivo Las Parejas
1 : 1
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
21 Jun
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
15 Jun
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6

Crucero del Norte

(Away)
13 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
3 : 1
Crucero del Norte
06 Sept
Crucero del Norte
2 : 3
Sarmiento Resistencia
01 Sept
El Linqueno
3 : 0
Crucero del Norte
23 Aug
Crucero del Norte
1 : 4
Boca Unidos
17 Aug
Ben Hur
3 : 1
Crucero del Norte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guillermo Brown962115:620
2Germinal95139:716
3San Martin Mendoza943210:615
4Sol de Mayo950412:1515
5Juventud U.U.93518:414
6Circulo Deportivo93427:413
7Huracan Las Heras932410:1111
8Santamarina93249:1111
9Sportivo Estudiantes92347:89
10Gutierrez Mendoza90093:180
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Unidos960315:618
2Bartolome Mitre951311:716
3Sarmiento Resistencia951313:1216
4Sportivo Las Parejas951311:1016
5El Linqueno942311:614
6Sol de America941411:813
7Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo933313:1312
8Gimnasia E.R.93249:1211
9Ben Hur931510:1610
10Crucero del Norte90278:222
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)