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Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Salomon Boeseldin
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo play Gimnasia Chivilcoy in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Gimnasia Chivilcoy averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo won 0, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo and 0.88 for Gimnasia Chivilcoy. This points to a Gimnasia Chivilcoy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
30%
Draws
34%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnasia Chivilcoy has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Torneo Federal provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
3:0
Jul 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0:1
May 4, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 36 / 100
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo VS Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1677219:728
2Douglas Haig1684419:1228
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1674515:1025
49 de Julio Rafaela1674526:2325
5Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1665520:1723
6Sportivo Las Parejas1657411:1222
7Independiente Chivilcoy1646613:1918
8Atletico Escobar1653817:2618
9Gimnasia E.R.1644812:1716
10El Linqueno1634911:2013
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1483324:1727
2Bartolome Mitre1465312:623
3Sol de America1472515:1023
4Sarmiento de La Banda1463514:1421
5Juventud Antoniana1454513:1019
6Defensores de Vilelas1561821:2519
7Boca Unidos1453617:1918
8Tucuman Central1451812:1516
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1564518:1522
2Argentino MM1456315:1121
3Biblioteca Atenas1463512:1321
4Fundacion Amigos1447317:1419
5Huracan Las Heras1454510:1319
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1445510:1417
8Juventud U.U.1437410:916
9Deportivo Rincon1444612:1516
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alvarado1575319:726
2Kimberley1567214:825
3Olimpo Bahia Blanca1467110:425
4Villa Mitre144738:519
5Germinal144647:1118
6Sol de Mayo1445511:1217
7Guillermo Brown1435611:1714
8Santamarina142669:1512
9Circulo Deportivo141674:149