Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Salomon Boeseldin, Villa Ram
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Almada L.
43'
Pavone N.
51' Event
Luna E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo and Gimnasia Chivilcoy finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
20%
Draws
47%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gimnasia Chivilcoy haven't matched Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gimnasia Chivilcoy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.24 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2:2
May 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
3:0
Jul 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0:1
May 4, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiol F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 42 / 100
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Gimnasia Chivilcoy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo VS Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

(Home)
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2
Alvarado
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0
San Martin Formosa
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
23 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

(Away)
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0
Sol de America
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)