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Defensores de Glew vs Belgrano Zarate

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Espindola E.
28' Event
Coali A.
56' Event
Frete R. J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 game between Defensores de Glew and Belgrano Zarate finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Defensores de Glew
17%
Draws
13%
Belgrano Zarate
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Defensores de Glew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Defensores de Glew come out ahead of Belgrano Zarate on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Defensores de Glew taking it.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Defensores de Glew have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 20%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores de Glew Belgrano Zarate
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 14
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.63 0.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew
0:4
Aug 23, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Belgrano Zarate
3:3
Oct 5, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew
0:3
May 12, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Belgrano Zarate
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores de Glew Compare

Top Goalscorer Espindola E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coali A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Belgrano Zarate Compare

Top Goalscorer Canale L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Glew 67 / 100
Belgrano Zarate 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores de Glew Belgrano Zarate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Defensores de Glew scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensores de Glew went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Belgrano Zarate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Glew VS Belgrano Zarate
2.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ezeiza1062216:520
2Social Atletico Television1062213:720
3Defensores de Glew1052323:1217
4Belgrano Zarate102627:1112
5Estrella de Berisso102177:167
6Atletico Pilar101364:196
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Metalurgico1062214:420
2Barrancas1053211:1218
3Nautico Hacoaj1052317:617
4Everton La Plata1032511:1011
5Provincial102357:209
6Juventud de Bernal102269:178