Sport Picks
Defensores de Vilelas vs Bartolome Mitre
Argentina
Torneo Federal 
Match Events
20'
20'
Niz L.
38'
38'
Larrasabal L.
45'
45'
Penaloza J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Defensores de Vilelas and Bartolome Mitre finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bartolome Mitre.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores de Vilelas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Bartolome Mitre carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Defensores de Vilelas taking it.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 68%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensores de Vilelas | Bartolome Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas
1:0
May 9, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Bartolome Mitre
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensores de Vilelas Compare
Top Goalscorer Niz L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Bartolome Mitre Compare
Top Goalscorer Penaloza J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Klusener A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensores de Vilelas 86 / 100
Bartolome Mitre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensores de Vilelas Bartolome Mitre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensores de Vilelas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensores de Vilelas's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 24 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Solid form: Defensores de Vilelas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Bartolome Mitre's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Defensores de Vilelas VS Bartolome Mitre
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensores de Vilelas
(Home) 19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3 Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 5
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
12 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 3 Tucuman Central
03 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 1 Sarmiento Resistencia
04 Jul
Defensores de Vilelas
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 3
Bartolome Mitre
(Away) 20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0 San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3 Douglas Haig
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
16 Aug
Sol de America
2 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
02 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
26 Jul
San Martin Formosa
1 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
