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Stadium Background

Defensores de Vilelas vs Bartolome Mitre

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Niz L.
38'
Larrasabal L.
45' Event
Penaloza J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Defensores de Vilelas and Bartolome Mitre finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bartolome Mitre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Defensores de Vilelas
44%
Draws
20%
Bartolome Mitre
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Bartolome Mitre carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 17%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores de Vilelas Bartolome Mitre
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 1 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas
1:0
May 9, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Bartolome Mitre
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores de Vilelas Compare

Top Goalscorer Niz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bartolome Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Penaloza J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Klusener A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Vilelas 36 / 100
Bartolome Mitre 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores de Vilelas Bartolome Mitre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores de Vilelas's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Bartolome Mitre conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Defensores de Vilelas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Vilelas VS Bartolome Mitre
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512