Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defensores Unidos vs Dep. Merlo

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Figueroa T.
Own Goal
12' Event
Cuenca C.
28'
Minnicelli A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Defensores Unidos and Dep. Merlo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Defensores Unidos
39%
Draws
31%
Dep. Merlo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Merlo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Defensores Unidos Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores Unidos Dep. Merlo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Defensores Unidos vs Dep. Merlo
1:1
Sep 10, 2022 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Defensores Unidos
2:2
May 14, 2022 Primera B
Defensores Unidos vs Dep. Merlo
0:1
Oct 24, 2021 Primera B
Defensores Unidos vs Dep. Merlo
2:1
Jun 26, 2021 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Defensores Unidos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores Unidos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Dep. Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuenca C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores Unidos 41 / 100
Dep. Merlo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores Unidos Dep. Merlo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Merlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Dep. Merlo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensores Unidos found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Defensores Unidos VS Dep. Merlo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas25146537:1748
2Arsenal Sarandi25138436:1947
3Villa Dalmine25138430:1447
4Talleres Remedios Escalada25137528:1346
5Deportivo Camioneros25128529:1744
6Sportivo Italiano25118625:2041
7Real Pilar25107829:2837
8Deportivo Armenio25106928:2936
9San Martin Burzaco25811625:2135
10Comunicaciones2598828:2635
11Laferrere2598827:3035
12Dep. Merlo2598830:3735
13Argentino de Merlo2597924:2234
14Argentino de Quilmes2579925:2830
15Dock Sud25610925:2428
16CSD Liniers25681116:2526
17Flandria25751320:3126
18UAI Urquiza25315712:2024
19Defensores Unidos25591120:2924
20Brown Adrogue25591116:2824
21Villa San Carlos254101124:3122
22Ituzaingo25171718:4310