Sport Picks
Defensores Unidos vs Excursionistas
Argentina
Primera B Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox, Zarate 
Match Events
27'
27'
Fernandez M.
38'
38'
Baigorria A.
55'
55'
Iribarne S.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Defensores Unidos and Excursionistas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Excursionistas come out ahead of Defensores Unidos on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Defensores Unidos Clean Sheet 17%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensores Unidos | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 14, 2026 Primera B
Defensores Unidos vs Excursionistas
0:2
Mar 4, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Defensores Unidos
1:0
Apr 1, 2018 Primera C
Excursionistas vs Defensores Unidos
1:2
Nov 4, 2017 Primera C
Defensores Unidos vs Excursionistas
1:0
Mar 29, 2016 Primera C
Excursionistas vs Defensores Unidos
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensores Unidos Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Arbello I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gimenez W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensores Unidos 36 / 100
Excursionistas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensores Unidos Excursionistas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Excursionistas conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Defensores Unidos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensores Unidos scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Defensores Unidos VS Excursionistas
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensores Unidos
(Home) 25 Sept
Ituzaingo
0 : 1 Defensores Unidos
18 Sept
Comunicaciones
2 : 0 Defensores Unidos
12 Sept
Defensores Unidos
3 : 0 Dock Sud
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Defensores Unidos
29 Aug
Defensores Unidos
0 : 0 Deportivo Camioneros
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Defensores Unidos
3 : 0 Dock Sud
29 Aug
Defensores Unidos
0 : 0 Deportivo Camioneros
22 Aug
Defensores Unidos
2 : 0 San Martin Burzaco
08 Aug
Defensores Unidos
2 : 3 CSD Liniers
25 Jul
Defensores Unidos
1 : 1 UAI Urquiza
Page 1 of 3
Excursionistas
(Away) 25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
22 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2 Excursionistas
08 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Jul
Flandria
1 : 1 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 59:29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 50:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 40:21 | 67 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 37 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 38:21 | 64 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 42:27 | 63 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 43:28 | 62 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 40:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 39:38 | 57 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 38:33 | 54 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 44:49 | 48 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 37:40 | 47 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 38:38 | 44 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 36:39 | 44 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 36:51 | 43 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 29:36 | 42 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 32:38 | 40 |
| 18 | CSD Liniers | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30:39 | 40 |
| 19 | Flandria | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32:45 | 38 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 24:37 | 38 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 37 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 18:33 | 32 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 37 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 23:59 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
