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Defensores Unidos vs UAI Urquiza

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox, Zarate
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Zapata E.
37' Event
Herrera S.
46'
Sub
Ortigoza M. In: Ferreyra T.
Out: Ortigoza M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Defensores Unidos and UAI Urquiza finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Defensores Unidos
30%
Draws
23%
UAI Urquiza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Defensores Unidos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Defensores Unidos a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Defensores Unidos Clean Sheet 68%
UAI Urquiza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores Unidos UAI Urquiza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 14
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.86 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera B
Defensores Unidos vs UAI Urquiza
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Defensores Unidos
2:2
Aug 13, 2022 Primera B
Defensores Unidos vs UAI Urquiza
2:1
Apr 16, 2022 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Defensores Unidos
0:2
Oct 3, 2021 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Defensores Unidos
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

UAI Urquiza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores Unidos 59 / 100
UAI Urquiza 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores Unidos UAI Urquiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores Unidos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensores Unidos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

UAI Urquiza's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensores Unidos scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensores Unidos VS UAI Urquiza
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores Unidos

(Home)
03 Oct
Defensores Unidos
1 : 1
Argentino de Quilmes
25 Sept
Ituzaingo
0 : 1
Defensores Unidos
18 Sept
Comunicaciones
2 : 0
Defensores Unidos
12 Sept
Defensores Unidos
3 : 0
Dock Sud
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0
Defensores Unidos
Page 1 of 6

UAI Urquiza

(Away)
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
29 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 0
UAI Urquiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 38 22 8 8 59:30 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 38 19 10 9 40:23 67
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 38 17 12 9 43:29 63
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 38 11 14 13 37:39 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)