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Degerfors vs AIK

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Stora Valla, Degerfors
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Wilson O. S.
Own Goal
21'
Yohanna Z.
43'
Fritzson L.

AI Match Summary

Degerfors in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Degerfors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Degerfors
11%
Draws
80%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Degerfors haven't matched AIK's recent run of results.
  • AIK are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 11%
AIK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Degerfors AIK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs AIK
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
AIK vs Degerfors
3:3
Aug 24, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs AIK
0:1
Jul 13, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Degerfors
3:0
Feb 14, 2025 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Degerfors
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Degerfors Compare

Top Goalscorer Taranis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Hove J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Degerfors 10 / 100
AIK 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Degerfors AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Degerfors found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

AIK has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Degerfors has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Degerfors VS AIK
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Degerfors

(Home)
19 Jul
Hammarby
4 : 0
Degerfors
12 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Degerfors
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
31 May
Degerfors
2 : 2
Brommapojkarna
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AIK

(Away)
18 Jul
AIK
2 : 0
GAIS
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
05 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
AIK
28 Jun
AIK
3 : 2
Vasteras SK
22 Jun
AIK
0 : 2
Kalmar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius13112036:1635
2Hammarby1482432:1426
3Hacken1365227:2223
4AIK1363418:1821
5Djurgarden1262426:1520
6Malmo FF1362527:2220
7GAIS1454518:1419
8Vasteras SK1354422:2319
9Elfsborg1446418:1718
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1342716:1914
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1324712:2310
15Orgryte1324714:3110
16Halmstad1313910:286
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)