Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Degerfors vs Mjallby

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Stora Valla, Degerfors
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kjaer J.
Assist: Thorell L.
25'
Pettersson T.
30' Event
Pettersson T.
Assist: Iqbal A.

AI Match Summary

Mjallby in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mjallby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Degerfors
15%
Draws
21%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Degerfors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Degerfors have won more games recently than Mjallby.
  • Degerfors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mjallby have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 68%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Degerfors Mjallby
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Mjallby
1:4
Sep 13, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Mjallby
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Degerfors
4:1
Nov 12, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Mjallby
1:2
Apr 16, 2023 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Degerfors
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Degerfors Compare

Top Goalscorer Moro N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjaer J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pettersson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Degerfors 95 / 100
Mjallby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Degerfors Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Degerfors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Degerfors found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Mjallby let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Degerfors has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Degerfors VS Mjallby
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Degerfors

(Home)
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
Brommapojkarna
2 : 0
Degerfors
19 Aug
IFK Ostersund
1 : 5
Degerfors
16 Aug
Degerfors
3 : 0
IFK Goteborg
09 Aug
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

Mjallby

(Away)
27 Aug
Salzburg
3 : 0
Mjallby
20 Aug
Mjallby
0 : 1
Salzburg
15 Aug
Mjallby
4 : 3
Sirius
11 Aug
Slovan Bratislava
2 : 0
Mjallby
08 Aug
Mjallby
0 : 1
Elfsborg
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 18 13 3 2 47:26 42
2 Hammarby 19 11 3 5 44:18 36
3 Elfsborg 19 8 7 4 27:19 31
4 Hacken 19 8 7 4 33:29 31
5 AIK 18 9 4 5 28:27 31
6 Djurgarden 17 9 2 6 37:19 29
7 Vasteras SK 19 8 5 6 28:33 29
8 Malmo FF 18 8 2 8 32:30 26
9 Brommapojkarna 18 6 6 6 27:27 24
10 GAIS 18 6 5 7 21:18 23
11 IFK Goteborg 19 6 5 8 24:39 23
12 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 24:23 20
13 Kalmar 19 5 4 10 21:29 19
14 Degerfors 19 4 4 11 17:31 16
15 Orgryte 19 3 5 11 22:42 14
16 Halmstad 19 2 5 12 13:35 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)