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Dekedda vs Gantaalaha Afgooye

Somalia Somalia

National league
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dekedda host Gantaalaha Afgooye in the National league. This has Dekedda written all over it on paper. Gantaalaha Afgooye have shipped 4 goals a game lately, while Dekedda have conceded 1 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Dekedda have won 1 to Gantaalaha Afgooye's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 0:5. xG projections (3.00 - 1.13) back Dekedda to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dekedda
6%
Draws
4%
Gantaalaha Afgooye
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gantaalaha Afgooye haven't matched Dekedda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dekedda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 20%
Gantaalaha Afgooye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dekedda Gantaalaha Afgooye
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 16 1
Draws 8 1
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 National league
Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Dekedda
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dekedda 85 / 100
Gantaalaha Afgooye 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dekedda Gantaalaha Afgooye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dekedda found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Gantaalaha Afgooye let in goals in 100% of their last 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dekedda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dekedda VS Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dekedda

(Home)
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
06 Jul
Raadsan
3 : 6
Dekedda
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
25 Jun
Dekedda
1 : 0
Jazeera
Page 1 of 7

Gantaalaha Afgooye

(Away)
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
09 Jul
Jeenyo
3 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
01 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
1 : 3
Heegan
24 Jun
Gaadiidka
3 : 3
Gantaalaha Afgooye
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka18125148:1441
2Heegan19125247:1541
3Mogadishu City19116236:1239
4Dekedda19107244:2037
5Elman19113532:1336
6Horseed1998237:1735
7Jazeera1855837:3520
8Jeenyo1947830:3019
9Badbaado18521130:3117
10Raadsan18411330:5013
11Jubba19201713:816
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)