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Dekedda vs Horseed

Somalia Somalia

National league
Dekedda Logo

Dekedda

2 - 1
FT
Horseed Logo

Horseed

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dekedda in this National league matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dekedda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dekedda
30%
Draws
27%
Horseed
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Dekedda average 2.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Horseed's 2.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Dekedda taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 16%
Horseed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dekedda Horseed
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.1 2
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Horseed
2:1
May 18, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Dekedda
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Horseed
1:1
Dec 19, 2024 National league
Horseed vs Dekedda
2:1
Jul 30, 2024 National league
Horseed vs Dekedda
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dekedda 84 / 100
Horseed 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dekedda Horseed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dekedda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dekedda has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dekedda's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Horseed has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dekedda VS Horseed
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dekedda

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
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Horseed

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)