Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dekedda vs Horseed

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dekedda in this National league matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dekedda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dekedda
6%
Draws
4%
Horseed
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dekedda lately — more wins on the board than Horseed.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dekedda taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 16%
Horseed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dekedda Horseed
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Horseed
2:1
May 18, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Dekedda
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Horseed
1:1
Dec 19, 2024 National league
Horseed vs Dekedda
2:1
Jul 30, 2024 National league
Horseed vs Dekedda
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dekedda 84 / 100
Horseed 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dekedda Horseed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dekedda scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Dekedda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Horseed has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dekedda VS Horseed
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dekedda

(Home)
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
06 Jul
Raadsan
3 : 6
Dekedda
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
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Horseed

(Away)
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
03 Jul
Horseed
1 : 1
Jeenyo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
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