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Delfin vs Aucas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
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Match Events

36'
Ayunta F.
40'
Morales S.
46'
Sub
Oyola B. In: Carabali B.
Out: Oyola B.

AI Match Summary

Aucas in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Delfin
35%
Draws
28%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Delfin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Delfin haven't matched Aucas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Delfin a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aucas have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Delfin Clean Sheet 68%
Aucas Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin Aucas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Aucas
0:1
Apr 28, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Delfin
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Aucas
0:1
Nov 11, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Delfin
8:0
Jul 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Delfin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Aucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 50 / 100
Aucas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Delfin's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Delfin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Aucas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS Aucas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 6

Aucas

(Away)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0
Libertad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)