Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Delfin vs Aucas

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
0 - 1
08:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Ayunta F.
40'
Morales S.
46'
Sub
Oyola B. In: Carabali B.
Out: Oyola B.

AI Match Summary

Delfin host Aucas in the Liga Pro. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Delfin have averaged 0.74 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Aucas's 1.25 scored and 0.96 conceded. Head-to-head, Delfin have won 0 to Aucas's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward Aucas. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Delfin
15%
Draws
59%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Delfin haven't matched Aucas's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aucas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Delfin Clean Sheet 20%
Aucas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin Aucas
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.74 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Delfin
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Aucas
0:1
Nov 11, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Delfin
8:0
Jul 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Delfin
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Aucas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 36 / 100
Aucas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aucas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Delfin's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aucas conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Delfin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS Aucas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
20 Aug
Juventud Italiana
0 : 1
Delfin
15 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 2
Delfin
09 Aug
Delfin
1 : 1
Orense
04 Aug
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Delfin
26 Jul
Delfin
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 6

Aucas

(Away)
17 Aug
Aucas
0 : 1
LDU Quito
12 Aug
La Union
1 : 2
Aucas
08 Aug
Aucas
3 : 0
Leones del Norte
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2
Aucas
26 Jul
Aucas
1 : 4
Macara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 22 1 3 64:26 67
2 U. Catolica 26 12 7 7 45:23 43
3 Macara 25 12 6 7 33:25 42
4 Aucas 25 12 5 8 29:26 41
5 Barcelona SC 26 10 9 7 28:20 39
6 LDU Quito 25 11 5 9 24:20 38
7 Leones del Norte 26 9 8 9 28:28 35
8 Libertad 25 9 7 9 28:29 34
9 Mushuc Runa 26 8 9 9 32:34 33
10 Guayaquil City 26 8 9 9 25:29 33
11 Emelec 25 8 8 9 21:29 32
12 Dep. Cuenca 26 9 5 12 22:32 32
13 Orense 26 8 6 12 30:39 30
14 Tecnico U. 26 8 2 16 23:37 26
15 Delfin 25 6 6 13 17:27 24
16 Manta 26 4 5 17 12:37 17
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