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Delfin vs Barcelona SC

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Mendoza E.
Assist: Ozaeta T.
45'
Molinas I. A.
46'
Sub
Mejia M. In: Parrales M.
Out: Mejia M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Delfin and Barcelona SC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barcelona SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Delfin
30%
Draws
37%
Barcelona SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barcelona SC come out ahead of Delfin on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Delfin taking it.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Delfin Clean Sheet 68%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin Barcelona SC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Delfin
1:1
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Ecuador
Barcelona SC vs Delfin
0:0
May 24, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Barcelona SC
1:2
Jul 20, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Barcelona SC
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Delfin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 50 / 100
Barcelona SC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin Barcelona SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Delfin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Delfin found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS Barcelona SC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0
Delfin
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Barcelona SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)