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Delfin vs Macara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Delfin Logo

Delfin

2 - 1
FT
Macara Logo

Macara

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Arce J.
34'
Castillo Saa J. L.
45' Event
Campana A. I.
Assist: Klinger J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Delfin in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Delfin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Delfin
20%
Draws
48%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Delfin haven't matched Macara's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Delfin a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Delfin Clean Sheet 20%
Macara Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin Macara
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.79 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Macara
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs Delfin
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Delfin
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Macara
0:4
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Delfin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayunta F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Campana A. I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 42 / 100
Macara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Delfin scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Macara let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Delfin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS Macara
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 6

Macara

(Away)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)