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Delfin vs Orense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Delfin Logo

Delfin

1 - 1
FT
Orense Logo

Orense

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bedoya A.
Assist: Ushina K.
28'
Sub
Zambrano Pesantez E. S. In: Burgoa V.
Out: Zambrano Pesantez E. S.
40'
Bedoya A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Delfin
20%
Draws
22%
Orense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Delfin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orense lately — more wins on the board than Delfin.
  • Win probability leans Delfin's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Delfin Clean Sheet 68%
Orense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin Orense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Orense
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
0:0
Aug 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
3:1
May 4, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Orense
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bedoya A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Orense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bermudez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 77 / 100
Orense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin Orense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Delfin found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Delfin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Orense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS Orense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 6

Orense

(Away)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
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