Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Delfin vs Orense

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bedoya A.
Assist: Ushina K.
28'
Sub
Zambrano Pesantez E. S. In: Burgoa V.
Out: Zambrano Pesantez E. S.
40'
Bedoya A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Delfin
20%
Draws
40%
Orense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Orense at 1.21 per game, Delfin at 0.75.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Delfin Clean Sheet 68%
Orense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin Orense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Orense
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
0:0
Aug 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
3:1
May 4, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Orense
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bedoya A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Orense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bermudez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 41 / 100
Orense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin Orense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orense has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Orense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Delfin scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS Orense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
09 Aug
Delfin
1 : 1
Orense
04 Aug
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Delfin
26 Jul
Delfin
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
21 Jul
Libertad
1 : 0
Delfin
18 Jul
Delfin
2 : 1
Macara
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Orense

(Away)
09 Aug
Delfin
1 : 1
Orense
01 Aug
Libertad
3 : 0
Orense
26 Jul
Orense
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
23 Jul
Orense
2 : 1
Aucas
20 Jul
Mushuc Runa
2 : 1
Orense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 25 21 1 3 61:24 64
2 Macara 24 12 5 7 32:24 41
3 Aucas 24 12 5 7 29:25 41
4 U. Catolica 24 11 6 7 39:21 39
5 Barcelona SC 24 9 8 7 25:20 35
6 LDU Quito 24 10 5 9 23:20 35
7 Libertad 24 9 6 9 26:27 33
8 Leones del Norte 24 8 8 8 24:25 32
9 Mushuc Runa 24 8 7 9 32:34 31
10 Dep. Cuenca 24 9 4 11 22:30 31
11 Guayaquil City 24 7 8 9 20:25 29
12 Emelec 24 7 8 9 19:28 29
13 Orense 24 7 6 11 28:36 27
14 Tecnico U. 24 8 2 14 20:32 26
15 Delfin 25 6 6 13 17:27 24
16 Manta 24 4 5 15 11:30 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)