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Delfines Del Este vs Vega Real Prediction & H2H Stats

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF Estadio de Futbol Panamericano Parque del Este, Santo Domingo
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Ramos J.

AI Match Summary

Delfines Del Este in this LDF matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Delfines Del Este.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Delfines Del Este
15%
Draws
40%
Vega Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Delfines Del Este

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Delfines Del Este have won more games recently than Vega Real.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Delfines Del Este taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Delfines Del Este have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Delfines Del Este Clean Sheet 68%
Vega Real Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfines Del Este Vega Real
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 13 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.22 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 LDF
Delfines Del Este vs Vega Real
1:0
Dec 12, 2025 LDF
Vega Real vs Delfines Del Este
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 LDF
Delfines Del Este vs Vega Real
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 Copa de la LDF
Delfines Del Este vs Vega Real
2:0
Jun 19, 2024 LDF
Vega Real vs Delfines Del Este
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfines Del Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vega Real Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfines Del Este 50 / 100
Vega Real 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfines Del Este Vega Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfines Del Este Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Delfines Del Este's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vega Real conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Delfines Del Este stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Delfines Del Este VS Vega Real
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfines Del Este

(Home)
30 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 0
Delfines Del Este
26 Sept
Delfines Del Este
3 : 1
Atlantico FC
23 Sept
Moca
1 : 1
Delfines Del Este
20 Sept
Delfines Del Este
1 : 0
Vega Real
15 Sept
Delfines Del Este
3 : 1
Defence Force
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Vega Real

(Away)
26 Sept
Vega Real
1 : 0
Moca
23 Sept
Vega Real
3 : 1
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
20 Sept
Delfines Del Este
1 : 0
Vega Real
12 Sept
Vega Real
5 : 0
Atlantico FC
05 Sept
Cibao
2 : 1
Vega Real
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salcedo 8 6 2 0 17:4 20
2 Cibao 8 4 2 2 13:6 14
3 Delfines Del Este 8 4 2 2 7:4 14
4 Vega Real 8 4 1 3 13:8 13
5 Moca 8 3 4 1 7:5 11
6 Universidad O&M 8 3 2 3 12:9 9
7 Don Bosco Jarabacoa 8 1 0 7 3:16 0
8 Atlantico FC 8 0 1 7 6:26 -1
Promotion - LDF (Winners stage)