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DEM vs Jong Den Haag

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sat, Mar 14, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DEM host Jong Den Haag in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: DEM at 1.42 goals for, 2.58 against; Jong Den Haag at 2 for, 1.53 against. Head-to-head, DEM have won 1 to Jong Den Haag's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.81) point toward Jong Den Haag. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
DEM
15%
Draws
57%
Jong Den Haag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Den Haag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • DEM haven't matched Jong Den Haag's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Jong Den Haag taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
DEM Clean Sheet 11%
Jong Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DEM Jong Den Haag
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.42 2
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2020 Derde Divisie
DEM vs Jong Den Haag
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Derde Divisie
Jong Den Haag vs DEM
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DEM 10 / 100
Jong Den Haag 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DEM Jong Den Haag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Den Haag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Den Haag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.

DEM's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Jong Den Haag registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

DEM VS Jong Den Haag
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

DEM

(Home)
26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5
RKAV Volendam
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2
DEM
17 May
DEM
0 : 2
Genemuiden
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0
DEM
03 May
DEM
4 : 3
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 7

Jong Den Haag

(Away)
02 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 0
Jong Den Haag
12 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Jong Den Haag
22 Nov
Jong Den Haag
7 : 0
Jong Maastricht
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)