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Democrata SL vs Nacional de Muriae - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Fabricio

AI Match Summary

Democrata SL in this Mineiro 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Democrata SL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Democrata SL
15%
Draws
39%
Nacional de Muriae
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Democrata SL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Democrata SL lately — more wins on the board than Nacional de Muriae.
  • Model gives Democrata SL a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 68%
Nacional de Muriae Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Democrata SL Nacional de Muriae
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2025 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Nacional de Muriae
1:0
May 14, 2025 Mineiro 2
Nacional de Muriae vs Democrata SL
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Nacional de Muriae
0:0
May 15, 2024 Mineiro 2
Nacional de Muriae vs Democrata SL
1:1
May 15, 2022 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Nacional de Muriae
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Democrata SL Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabricio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nacional de Muriae Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Democrata SL 68 / 100
Nacional de Muriae 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Democrata SL Nacional de Muriae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Democrata SL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Democrata SL's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Nacional de Muriae has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Democrata SL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Democrata SL VS Nacional de Muriae
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Democrata SL

(Home)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
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Nacional de Muriae

(Away)
05 Oct
Nacional de Muriae
2 : 1
Nova Lavras
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
0 : 1
Nacional de Muriae
21 Sept
Nacional de Muriae
3 : 0
Santarritense
21 Jun
Valeriodoce
2 : 2
Nacional de Muriae
14 Jun
Nacional de Muriae
0 : 3
North Esporte Clube
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)