Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dempo vs Diamond Harbour

India India

I-League Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Joseph M.
15'
Jobby J.
50' Event
Joseph M.

AI Match Summary

The I-League game between Dempo and Diamond Harbour finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dempo
35%
Draws
35%
Diamond Harbour
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diamond Harbour come out ahead of Dempo on wins alone.
  • Diamond Harbour are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular I-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Dempo Clean Sheet 11%
Diamond Harbour Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dempo Diamond Harbour
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 12 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 I-League
Dempo vs Diamond Harbour
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 I-League
Diamond Harbour vs Dempo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dempo Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseph M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Diamond Harbour Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dempo 22 / 100
Diamond Harbour 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dempo Diamond Harbour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diamond Harbour Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dempo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Diamond Harbour's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Dempo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dempo VS Diamond Harbour
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dempo

(Home)
22 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
09 May
Chanmari
2 : 0
Dempo
01 May
Rajasthan United
0 : 1
Dempo
26 Apr
Lajong
0 : 0
Dempo
Page 1 of 6

Diamond Harbour

(Away)
23 May
Diamond Harbour
0 : 3
Lajong
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
08 May
Diamond Harbour
5 : 2
Rajasthan United
03 May
Diamond Harbour
1 : 2
Sreenidi Deccan
25 Apr
Chanmari
0 : 2
Diamond Harbour
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diamond Harbour 14 9 2 3 31:20 29
2 Lajong 14 8 4 2 28:12 28
3 Sreenidi Deccan 14 7 5 2 18:13 26
4 Rajasthan United 14 5 3 6 20:24 18
5 Chanmari 14 4 3 7 19:25 15
6 Dempo 14 3 6 5 17:18 15
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