Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dempo vs Rajasthan United

India India

I-League Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Kouakou A.
22' Event
Joseph M.
Assist: Dias N.
42'
Owusu R.

AI Match Summary

Rajasthan United in this I-League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rajasthan United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Dempo
30%
Draws
8%
Rajasthan United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dempo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rajasthan United lately — more wins on the board than Dempo.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Dempo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dempo Clean Sheet 20%
Rajasthan United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dempo Rajasthan United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 I-League
Rajasthan United vs Dempo
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 I-League
Dempo vs Rajasthan United
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 I-League
Dempo vs Rajasthan United
0:4
Jan 19, 2025 I-League
Rajasthan United vs Dempo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dempo Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseph M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rajasthan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Artigas G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shimray T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dempo 85 / 100
Rajasthan United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dempo Rajasthan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dempo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dempo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rajasthan United conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Dempo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dempo VS Rajasthan United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dempo

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Goa
0 : 2
Dempo
22 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
09 May
Chanmari
2 : 0
Dempo
01 May
Rajasthan United
0 : 1
Dempo
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Rajasthan United

(Away)
19 May
Rajasthan United
2 : 2
Chanmari
15 May
Lajong
4 : 2
Rajasthan United
08 May
Diamond Harbour
5 : 2
Rajasthan United
01 May
Rajasthan United
0 : 1
Dempo
24 Apr
Rajasthan United
1 : 2
Sreenidi Deccan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diamond Harbour 9 7 1 1 22:12 22
2 Lajong 9 5 2 2 16:9 17
3 Rajasthan United 9 5 2 2 13:10 17
4 Sreenidi Deccan 9 4 3 2 10:8 15
5 Chanmari 9 3 2 4 14:15 11
6 Dempo 9 2 3 4 14:14 9
7 Aizawl FC 9 2 3 4 13:22 9
8 Real Kashmir 9 2 2 5 15:14 8
9 Gokulam 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
10 Namdhari 9 1 4 4 12:18 7
Promotion - I-League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - I-League (Relegation Group)