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Dempo vs Rajasthan United

India India

I-League Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dempo play Rajasthan United in the I-League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dempo averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. Rajasthan United averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Dempo won 1, Rajasthan United won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Dempo and 1.06 for Rajasthan United. This points to a Rajasthan United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Dempo
22%
Draws
18%
Rajasthan United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dempo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Rajasthan United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dempo.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Dempo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in I-League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dempo Clean Sheet 20%
Rajasthan United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dempo Rajasthan United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 I-League
Rajasthan United vs Dempo
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 I-League
Dempo vs Rajasthan United
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 I-League
Dempo vs Rajasthan United
0:4
Jan 19, 2025 I-League
Rajasthan United vs Dempo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dempo Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseph M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rajasthan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Artigas G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shimray T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dempo 58 / 100
Rajasthan United 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dempo Rajasthan United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dempo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Rajasthan United let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Dempo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rajasthan United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dempo VS Rajasthan United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diamond Harbour971122:1222
2Lajong952216:917
3Rajasthan United952213:1017
4Sreenidi Deccan943210:815
5Chanmari932414:1511
6Dempo923414:149
7Aizawl FC923413:229
8Real Kashmir922515:148
9Gokulam922511:188
10Namdhari914412:187