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Den Bosch vs Apeldoorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2012/2013
Fri, Mar 1, 2013
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Den Bosch host Apeldoorn in the Eerste Divisie 2012/2013. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Apeldoorn have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Den Bosch have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.6. Head-to-head, Den Bosch have won 3 to Apeldoorn's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2013, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.50, favoring Den Bosch. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Den Bosch
20%
Draws
51%
Apeldoorn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apeldoorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Den Bosch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Den Bosch's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 16%
Apeldoorn Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch Apeldoorn
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 10 3
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2013 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Apeldoorn
0:0
Oct 5, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Den Bosch
0:5
Apr 27, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Den Bosch
2:3
Nov 18, 2011 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Apeldoorn
4:0
Feb 11, 2011 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Apeldoorn
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 39 / 100
Apeldoorn 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch Apeldoorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Den Bosch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Apeldoorn let in goals in 71% of their last 14 matches.

Recent resilience: Den Bosch stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Bosch

(Home)
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

Apeldoorn

(Away)
11 Jul
Apeldoorn
1 : 7
AZ Alkmaar
05 Jan
Feyenoord
0 : 0
Apeldoorn
21 Dec
Apeldoorn
0 : 2
Sittard
17 Dec
Apeldoorn
4 : 0
Almere City
14 Dec
Eindhoven FC
1 : 6
Apeldoorn
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambuur 30 19 4 7 59:33 61
2 FC Volendam 30 19 3 8 70:43 60
3 Sparta Rotterdam 30 16 7 7 59:36 55
4 Helmond Sport 30 15 10 5 55:45 55
5 Maastricht 30 14 8 8 56:44 50
6 G.A. Eagles 30 13 9 8 60:46 48
7 Sittard 30 13 7 10 39:33 46
8 De Graafschap 30 12 9 9 57:41 45
9 Dordrecht 30 11 7 12 56:56 40
10 TOP Oss 30 10 7 13 40:57 37
11 Den Bosch 30 10 5 15 38:49 35
12 FC Emmen 30 8 8 14 38:52 32
13 Almere City 30 10 1 19 41:67 31
14 Telstar 30 7 8 15 31:46 29
15 Excelsior 30 4 9 17 39:63 21
16 Eindhoven FC 30 5 6 19 40:67 21
17 Apeldoorn 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Veendam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)