Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Den Bosch host Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Dordrecht have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Den Bosch have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Den Bosch have won 0 to Dordrecht's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.25 - 1.69) back Dordrecht to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Den Bosch
15%
Draws
42%
Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Den Bosch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Dordrecht carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Den Bosch's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dordrecht here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 13%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch Dordrecht
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Den Bosch
3:2
Sep 12, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht
3:3
Apr 12, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Den Bosch
4:0
Dec 1, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht
2:3
Mar 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 57 / 100
Dordrecht 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Den Bosch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Dordrecht has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Dordrecht lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS Dordrecht
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Bosch

(Home)
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

Dordrecht

(Away)
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1
Dordrecht
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6
Jong AZ Alkmaar
28 Aug
FC Volendam
6 : 1
Dordrecht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 8 7 0 1 26:10 21
2 Almere City 8 5 1 2 18:7 16
3 Maastricht 8 5 1 2 12:15 16
4 Venlo 8 5 0 3 21:14 15
5 Roda 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
6 FC Emmen 8 5 0 3 18:17 15
7 Waalwijk 8 3 4 1 18:11 13
8 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 13:11 13
9 NAC Breda 8 4 1 3 17:17 13
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 8 4 0 4 20:16 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 8 3 1 4 13:17 10
14 Helmond Sport 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
15 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
16 Den Bosch 8 2 1 5 12:17 7
17 Dordrecht 8 2 1 5 12:23 7
18 De Graafschap 8 2 1 5 9:20 7
19 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
20 TOP Oss 8 2 0 6 8:13 6
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)