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Den Bosch vs Lusail

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Den Bosch host Lusail in the Club Friendly. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Den Bosch at 1.63 goals for, 1.63 against; Lusail at 1.29 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor Lusail slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 1-1. xG projections (1.53 - 1.46) back Lusail to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Den Bosch
44%
Draws
20%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusail carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 16%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch Lusail
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Den Bosch vs Lusail
1-1
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Lusail vs Den Bosch
2-2
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Den Bosch vs Lusail
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Lusail vs Den Bosch
3-1
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Den Bosch vs Lusail
1-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 36 / 100
Lusail 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch Lusail

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Lusail has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Den Bosch has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS Lusail
1.63 Goals Scored 1.29
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%