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Den Bosch vs Vitesse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Monzialo K.
Penalty Missed
28' Event
Bannis N.
Assist: van den Berg C.
33' Event
de Carvalho F.
Assist: Bannis N.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Den Bosch and Vitesse finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Den Bosch
20%
Draws
51%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Den Bosch haven't matched Vitesse's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 11%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch Vitesse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Vitesse
1:4
Dec 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Vitesse
2:0
Oct 6, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Den Bosch
1:2
May 9, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Den Bosch
3:1
Oct 18, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Vitesse
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoffman L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannis N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader de Carvalho F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 30 / 100
Vitesse 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitesse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Den Bosch scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Vitesse let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Den Bosch remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS Vitesse
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Bosch

(Home)
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

Vitesse

(Away)
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)