Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Vink S.
Assist: Peters T.
29'
29'
O'Niel D.
Assist: Ouazane A.
31'
31'
van Mieghem D.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Den Haag and Jong Ajax finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Den Haag.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jong Ajax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Den Haag carry the better recent record into this one.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Den Haag have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 12%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Den Haag | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Jong Ajax
4:2
Sep 15, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Den Haag
1:3
Feb 14, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Jong Ajax
1:0
Oct 21, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Den Haag
0:0
Mar 1, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Jong Ajax
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Den Haag Compare
Top Goalscorer van Mieghem D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kilo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Jong Ajax Compare
Top Goalscorer Vink S.
1 Goals Assists Leader O'Niel D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Den Haag 35 / 100
Jong Ajax 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Den Haag Jong Ajax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong Ajax Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Den Haag scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Jong Ajax has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Den Haag stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Den Haag VS Jong Ajax
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Den Haag
(Home) 19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1 Cambuur
12 Sept
Twente
2 : 0 Den Haag
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3 Sittard
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2 Den Haag
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1 Den Haag
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1 Cambuur
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3 Sittard
16 Aug
Den Haag
1 : 4 Groningen
31 Jul
Den Haag
0 : 0 Asteras Tripolis
17 Apr
Den Haag
5 : 1 Waalwijk
Page 1 of 3
Jong Ajax
(Away) 18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 Roda
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
22 Aug
NAC Breda
3 : 2 Jong Ajax
07 Aug
Dordrecht
2 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
