Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Den Haag vs PSV

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Den Haag host PSV in the Eredivisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. PSV have shipped 1.56 goals a game lately, while Den Haag have conceded 1.2 and scored 1.97. Head-to-head, Den Haag have won 0 to PSV's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2023, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.38, favoring PSV. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Den Haag
30%
Draws
58%
PSV
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSV lately — more wins on the board than Den Haag.
  • Win probability leans PSV's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • PSV have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%
PSV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Haag PSV
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.97 2.91
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2023 KNVB Beker
PSV vs Den Haag
3:1
Feb 13, 2021 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs PSV
2:2
Nov 1, 2020 Eredivisie
PSV vs Den Haag
4:0
Feb 15, 2020 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs PSV
0:3
Aug 11, 2019 Eredivisie
PSV vs Den Haag
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Haag 10 / 100
PSV 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Haag PSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Haag scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

PSV has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Den Haag remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Den Haag VS PSV
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Haag

(Home)
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Twente
2 : 0
Den Haag
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
Den Haag
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1
Den Haag
Page 1 of 6

PSV

(Away)
20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2
PSV
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3
PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6
PSV
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
3 PSV 7 5 1 1 24:10 16
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)